Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 63.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 76.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Carter
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Carter
Backstrom
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
4
Carter
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Backstrom
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
47.0% (541)
+10.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
47.4% (95)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
15.4% (13)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Carter
Backstrom
Home
58.2% (543)
48.5% (328)
Away
55.9% (594)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Carter
Backstrom
P1
57.5%
44.8%
P2
57.1%
42.9%
P3
55.8%
50.9%
OT
68.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |