Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Backstrom 52.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 76.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 62.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Carter
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Backstrom
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Carter
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
52.1% (940)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
51.3% (267)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
55.4% (83)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Backstrom is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Carter
Backstrom
Home
55.0% (291)
53.6% (638)
Away
54.5% (314)
51.4% (677)
By Period
Carter
Backstrom
P1
57.2%
54.8%
P2
46.6%
50.5%
P3
58.0%
52.0%
OT
77.8%
59.1%
Final 5 min
57.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |