Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.6%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 71.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Carter
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Carter
Backstrom
Last 7: Carter 6-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
47.9% (1,097)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
55.7% (149)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
45.0% (111)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Carter shoots right. Backstrom is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Carter
Backstrom
Home
50.8% (597)
51.1% (638)
Away
46.8% (631)
46.3% (719)
By Period
Carter
Backstrom
P1
48.8%
44.8%
P2
48.0%
51.1%
P3
49.4%
49.4%
OT
45.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |