Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Patrick 48.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 58.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 71.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.8%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Carter
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Carter
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
47.4% (156)
+10.5%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
56.3% (16)
+5.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Patrick is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Carter
Patrick
Home
58.2% (543)
43.8% (96)
Away
55.9% (594)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Carter
Patrick
P1
57.5%
44.4%
P2
57.1%
45.6%
P3
55.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |