Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.0% vs Bergeron 61.3% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 51.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 65.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 64.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Carter
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Carter
Bergeron
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Carter
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Carter
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (242)
60.7% (760)
-11.1%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
70.9% (230)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (50)
57.3% (157)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Carter is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Carter shoots right. Bergeron is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Carter
Bergeron
Home
48.6% (173)
64.4% (567)
Away
48.9% (141)
60.2% (580)
By Period
Carter
Bergeron
P1
52.1%
63.8%
P2
47.8%
58.6%
P3
46.6%
63.9%
OT
50.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |