Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 67.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 67.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Carter
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Carter
Bergeron
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
8
Carter
Bergeron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
2
Carter
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
63.8% (1,102)
-5.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
65.3% (288)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
47.6% (210)
-2.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Carter
Bergeron
Home
58.2% (543)
62.5% (882)
Away
55.9% (594)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Carter
Bergeron
P1
57.5%
62.5%
P2
57.1%
62.7%
P3
55.8%
60.6%
OT
68.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |