Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 87.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 54.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Carter
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carter
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
62.5% (1,109)
-2.8%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
62.2% (352)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
53.5% (245)
-0.3%
On power play, Carter has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Carter
Bergeron
Home
58.7% (455)
61.9% (917)
Away
60.0% (483)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Carter
Bergeron
P1
61.3%
60.8%
P2
57.1%
60.3%
P3
59.8%
63.0%
OT
57.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
60.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |