Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 67.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 73.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Carter
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Stastny
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
55.0% (1,136)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
57.5% (200)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
53.1% (64)
-3.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Carter shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Carter
Stastny
Home
52.3% (421)
58.5% (744)
Away
49.0% (353)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Carter
Stastny
P1
55.4%
57.9%
P2
49.1%
54.9%
P3
47.6%
53.0%
OT
58.8%
72.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |