Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.6%). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 58.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Carter
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
59.2% (370)
-1.3%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
40.9% (44)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
51.7% (58)
-6.3%
On power play, Carter has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Carter
Stastny
Home
58.2% (543)
57.7% (215)
Away
55.9% (594)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Carter
Stastny
P1
57.5%
57.7%
P2
57.1%
54.2%
P3
55.8%
57.7%
OT
68.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%