Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 54.9%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.6% vs Stastny 54.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Carter
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Carter
Stastny
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Carter
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Carter
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (307)
54.8% (1,130)
-1.7%
Power Play
62.5% (64)
59.1% (235)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
70.4% (27)
49.3% (150)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Carter shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Carter
Stastny
Home
58.9% (285)
55.5% (803)
Away
47.8% (113)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Carter
Stastny
P1
54.9%
57.4%
P2
57.5%
52.5%
P3
56.0%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |