Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Holmberg 44.8% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 61.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Carter
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Holmberg
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Carter
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Holmberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
42.5% (207)
+17.2%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
40.0% (10)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
50.0% (2)
+3.2%
On power play, Carter has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Holmberg is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Carter
Holmberg
Home
58.7% (455)
40.9% (127)
Away
60.0% (483)
44.6% (92)
By Period
Carter
Holmberg
P1
61.3%
47.8%
P2
57.1%
43.8%
P3
59.8%
37.2%
Final 5 min
60.2%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |