Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Holmberg 47.5% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 57.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 77.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 80.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Carter
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Carter
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Holmberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
45.7% (175)
+19.9%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
75.0% (8)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
40.0% (20)
+10.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Holmberg is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Carter
Holmberg
Home
64.3% (207)
50.9% (112)
Away
60.8% (217)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Carter
Holmberg
P1
65.3%
47.1%
P2
60.1%
45.7%
P3
63.8%
46.2%
Final 5 min
65.3%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |