Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Faksa 54.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 63.5%
Defensive zone
Faksa 62.3%
Neutral zone
Faksa 56.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Carter
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Carter
Faksa
Last 7: Carter 3-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Carter
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
3
Carter
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
55.1% (584)
+2.8%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
66.7% (12)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
53.5% (99)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Faksa is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Carter
Faksa
Home
58.2% (543)
54.5% (341)
Away
55.9% (594)
55.6% (354)
By Period
Carter
Faksa
P1
57.5%
60.9%
P2
57.1%
53.9%
P3
55.8%
51.4%
OT
68.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |