Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Faksa 55.1% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.4%
Neutral zone
Faksa 52.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Carter
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Carter
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
56.7% (413)
+3.0%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
56.3% (16)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
53.7% (123)
-0.5%
On power play, Carter has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Faksa is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Carter
Faksa
Home
58.7% (455)
56.3% (261)
Away
60.0% (483)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Carter
Faksa
P1
61.3%
58.6%
P2
57.1%
55.0%
P3
59.8%
55.0%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |