Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Hintz 52.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 55.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Carter
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Carter
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Carter
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
52.9% (526)
+5.0%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
57.4% (108)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
42.5% (40)
+2.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Carter
Hintz
Home
58.2% (543)
53.8% (329)
Away
55.9% (594)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Carter
Hintz
P1
57.5%
55.6%
P2
57.1%
53.0%
P3
55.8%
51.7%
OT
68.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |