Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.9%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Hintz 53.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 71.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 63.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Carter
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Carter
Hintz
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Carter
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
0
Carter
Hintz
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Carter
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
53.8% (3,722)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.4% (567)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
52.9% (221)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Carter
Hintz
Home
54.7% (5,752)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Carter
Hintz
P1
53.6%
55.5%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
53.1%
52.7%
OT
56.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |