Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Carpenter 48.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 62.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 65.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.3%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Carter
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Carpenter
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Carter
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
46.6% (73)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
0.0% (2)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Carter shoots right. Carpenter is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Carter
Carpenter
Home
54.8% (753)
51.7% (29)
Away
48.6% (662)
41.3% (46)
By Period
Carter
Carpenter
P1
52.8%
45.2%
P2
53.0%
55.6%
P3
49.9%
29.4%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |