Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 70.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 58.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 52.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Carter
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Carter
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
53.2% (299)
+4.7%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
33.3% (3)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
46.5% (86)
-1.1%
On power play, Carter has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Carter
Carpenter
Home
58.2% (543)
54.6% (207)
Away
55.9% (594)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Carter
Carpenter
P1
57.5%
52.3%
P2
57.1%
51.5%
P3
55.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |