Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 56.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Carter
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
48.8% (404)
+16.8%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
100.0% (1)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
43.6% (101)
+6.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Carter
Carpenter
Home
64.3% (207)
48.9% (274)
Away
60.8% (217)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Carter
Carpenter
P1
65.3%
51.9%
P2
60.1%
49.4%
P3
63.8%
41.8%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |