Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Hartman 44.0% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 56.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 88.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Carter
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carter
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
42.6% (495)
+17.1%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
38.5% (26)
+29.6%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
48.8% (43)
+4.4%
On power play, Carter has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Carter
Hartman
Home
58.7% (455)
43.4% (288)
Away
60.0% (483)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Carter
Hartman
P1
61.3%
43.1%
P2
57.1%
43.4%
P3
59.8%
42.0%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |