Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Hartman 47.3% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 53.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 83.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 75.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Carter
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carter
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
47.1% (649)
+18.5%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
47.1% (68)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
45.2% (73)
+5.3%
On power play, Carter has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Carter
Hartman
Home
64.3% (207)
46.5% (361)
Away
60.8% (217)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Carter
Hartman
P1
65.3%
45.1%
P2
60.1%
44.4%
P3
63.8%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |