Jeff Carter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 88.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 69.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 83.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
39.8% (508)
+13.1%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
60.5% (38)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
20.0% (5)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.4% (181)
42.6% (237)
Away
49.3% (203)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.6%
33.3%
P2
54.0%
45.1%
P3
47.2%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |