Jeff Carter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 58-33 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 89.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 93.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
33
(91 meetings)
58
33
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Carter 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
15
15
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
22
8
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
21
10
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
44.9% (8,756)
+8.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
50.7% (839)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
37.9% (879)
+8.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.7% (5,752)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.6%
45.1%
P2
52.8%
43.9%
P3
53.1%
45.3%
OT
56.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |