Jeff Carter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 92.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 91.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 92.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
43.0% (349)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
31.8% (88)
+13.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.2% (543)
38.5% (231)
Away
55.9% (594)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.5%
40.2%
P2
57.1%
36.0%
P3
55.8%
45.1%
OT
68.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |