Jeff Carter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 94.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 88.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Carter 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
3
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
1
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
45.0% (1,011)
+8.4%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
46.7% (135)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
31.1% (122)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Carter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.8% (753)
43.8% (625)
Away
48.6% (662)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.8%
47.8%
P2
53.0%
39.5%
P3
49.9%
44.2%
OT
53.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |