Jeff Carter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
4
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (552)
52.1% (351)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
57.1% (14)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
35.9% (39)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.2% (324)
50.0% (198)
Away
51.2% (422)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.8%
52.1%
P2
52.8%
48.8%
P3
51.2%
50.4%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |