Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 63.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 84.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Carter
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Carter
Gagner
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Carter
Gagner
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
4
Carter
Gagner
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
45.4% (4,699)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
51.5% (928)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
35.0% (226)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Carter
Gagner
Home
54.7% (5,752)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Carter
Gagner
P1
53.6%
44.6%
P2
52.8%
46.1%
P3
53.1%
47.3%
OT
56.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |