Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Gagner 47.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Carter
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
51.3% (158)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
66.7% (36)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
33.6% (110)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Carter
Gagner
Home
58.2% (543)
53.2% (154)
Away
55.9% (594)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Carter
Gagner
P1
57.5%
35.6%
P2
57.1%
52.7%
P3
55.8%
51.9%
OT
68.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |