Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 75.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 78.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 79.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Carter
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Carter
Reinhart
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
3
7
Carter
Reinhart
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
4
Carter
Reinhart
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
4
5
Carter
Reinhart
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
42.5% (2,173)
+10.8%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
46.5% (525)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
41.3% (339)
+5.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Carter
Reinhart
Home
54.7% (5,752)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Carter
Reinhart
P1
53.6%
44.5%
P2
52.8%
40.5%
P3
53.1%
44.5%
OT
56.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |