Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 82.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.0%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Carter
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Carter
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Carter
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Carter
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
49.4% (259)
+10.3%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
54.4% (136)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
47.9% (71)
+5.3%
On power play, Carter has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Carter
Reinhart
Home
58.7% (455)
54.9% (235)
Away
60.0% (483)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Carter
Reinhart
P1
61.3%
52.3%
P2
57.1%
50.0%
P3
59.8%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |