Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 85.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 61.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 73.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Carter
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Carter
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Carter
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Carter
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
48.0% (275)
+9.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
48.1% (52)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
53.1% (32)
-7.7%
On power play, Carter has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Reinhart is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Carter
Reinhart
Home
58.2% (543)
49.8% (201)
Away
55.9% (594)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Carter
Reinhart
P1
57.5%
54.8%
P2
57.1%
40.5%
P3
55.8%
50.0%
OT
68.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |