Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Reinhart 41.3% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 52.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Carter
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Carter
Reinhart
Last 6: Carter 3-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
2
Carter
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
30.0% (100)
+18.5%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
71.4% (7)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
100.0% (1)
-59.3%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Carter is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Carter shoots right. Reinhart is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Carter
Reinhart
Home
50.8% (597)
38.0% (50)
Away
46.8% (631)
29.3% (58)
By Period
Carter
Reinhart
P1
48.8%
38.5%
P2
48.0%
31.8%
P3
49.4%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |