Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.0% vs Reinhart 46.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 71.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 60.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Carter
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Carter
Reinhart
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
4
Carter
Reinhart
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
3
4
Carter
Reinhart
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (242)
44.4% (234)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
55.3% (38)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (50)
25.0% (4)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Carter is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Carter shoots right. Reinhart is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Carter
Reinhart
Home
48.6% (173)
44.9% (158)
Away
48.9% (141)
46.6% (118)
By Period
Carter
Reinhart
P1
52.1%
43.0%
P2
47.8%
46.7%
P3
46.6%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |