Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 36 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Couturier 52.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 57-38 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 64.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Carter
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
38
(95 meetings)
57
38
Carter
Couturier
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
22
14
Carter
Couturier
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
18
14
Carter
Couturier
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
17
10
Carter
Couturier
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
52.5% (11,063)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
59.7% (1,280)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
48.5% (1,816)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Carter
Couturier
Home
54.7% (5,752)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Carter
Couturier
P1
53.6%
52.5%
P2
52.8%
52.6%
P3
53.1%
52.9%
OT
56.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |