Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Couturier 54.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 65.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Carter
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Carter
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Carter
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
57.4% (303)
+0.5%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
65.5% (55)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
40.0% (70)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Carter
Couturier
Home
58.2% (543)
54.3% (219)
Away
55.9% (594)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Carter
Couturier
P1
57.5%
53.2%
P2
57.1%
54.8%
P3
55.8%
57.9%
OT
68.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |