Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Couturier 53.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 75.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Carter
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Couturier
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Carter
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
53.8% (1,003)
+11.8%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
56.4% (202)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
42.7% (89)
+7.8%
On power play, Carter has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Carter
Couturier
Home
64.3% (207)
54.4% (680)
Away
60.8% (217)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Carter
Couturier
P1
65.3%
56.3%
P2
60.1%
51.8%
P3
63.8%
52.2%
OT
40.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
65.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |