Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Couturier 54.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 82.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Carter
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Carter
Couturier
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
2
Carter
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Carter
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
5
0
Carter
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
55.5% (887)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
51.9% (79)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
54.0% (100)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Carter shoots right. Couturier is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Carter
Couturier
Home
54.8% (753)
52.4% (521)
Away
48.6% (662)
57.6% (545)
By Period
Carter
Couturier
P1
52.8%
53.4%
P2
53.0%
55.7%
P3
49.9%
56.6%
OT
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |