Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Boyd 43.9% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 58.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 77.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Carter
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Carter
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Carter
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
43.4% (893)
+16.3%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
51.5% (136)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
34.6% (127)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Carter
Boyd
Home
58.7% (455)
46.0% (570)
Away
60.0% (483)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Carter
Boyd
P1
61.3%
38.9%
P2
57.1%
50.4%
P3
59.8%
41.1%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |