Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Boyd 44.1% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 91.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 86.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 91.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Carter
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Carter
Boyd
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Boyd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Boyd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
44.4% (2,186)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
46.5% (256)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
35.6% (208)
+10.7%
On power play, Carter has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Carter
Boyd
Home
54.7% (5,752)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Carter
Boyd
P1
53.6%
41.7%
P2
52.8%
46.2%
P3
53.1%
44.0%
OT
56.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |