Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Carter 55.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Carter
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
46.7% (338)
+11.2%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
50.0% (6)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
32.6% (43)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Carter
Bozak
Home
58.2% (543)
47.9% (194)
Away
55.9% (594)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Carter
Bozak
P1
57.5%
40.2%
P2
57.1%
51.4%
P3
55.8%
43.1%
OT
68.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%