Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.5%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (53% H2H, 17 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Carter
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
19
(40 meetings)
21
19
Carter
Bozak
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
8
Carter
Bozak
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
5
Carter
Bozak
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Carter
Bozak
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
53.7% (9,596)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.2% (1,990)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
48.0% (1,094)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Carter
Bozak
Home
54.7% (5,752)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Carter
Bozak
P1
53.6%
53.2%
P2
52.8%
52.8%
P3
53.1%
54.5%
OT
56.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | OT | 04:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |