Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Skinner 48.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 92.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.6%
Neutral zone
Skinner 60.6%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Lowry
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lowry
Skinner
Last 9: Lowry 2-7 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
7
Lowry
Skinner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Skinner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
46.8% (222)
+5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
48.7% (78)
+4.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Lowry
Skinner
Home
52.4% (597)
53.8% (169)
Away
48.4% (583)
38.9% (131)
By Period
Lowry
Skinner
P1
48.5%
48.1%
P2
52.2%
47.1%
P3
50.5%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |