Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Toews 57.9% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 94.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 57.6%
Neutral zone
Skinner 86.4%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Skinner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Skinner
Toews
Last 10: Skinner 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
1
Skinner
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
6
Skinner
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
57.2% (13,047)
-14.9%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
63.3% (3,252)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
53.6% (1,810)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Skinner
Toews
Home
48.2% (949)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
39.9% (791)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Skinner
Toews
P1
41.6%
58.6%
P2
46.0%
57.8%
P3
46.4%
57.3%
OT
23.5%
58.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |