Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Toews 58.4% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 66.6%
Neutral zone
Skinner 79.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Skinner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Skinner
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Skinner
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
58.0% (901)
-20.5%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
69.5% (226)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.7% (209)
-51.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Skinner shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Skinner
Toews
Home
41.5% (130)
59.3% (637)
Away
39.4% (94)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Skinner
Toews
P1
32.9%
61.5%
P2
47.1%
55.2%
P3
40.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |