Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Toews 61.9% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 80.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 52.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.9%
10.1%
89.9%
Skinner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Skinner
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Skinner
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
61.1% (650)
-14.3%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
71.9% (192)
-23.2%
On power play, Toews has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Skinner
Toews
Home
53.8% (169)
64.8% (560)
Away
38.9% (131)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Skinner
Toews
P1
48.1%
62.3%
P2
47.1%
63.9%
P3
46.9%
62.8%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |