Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.0%). Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 25.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Scheifele 48.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 68.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 74.8%
Neutral zone
Skinner 54.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Skinner
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Skinner
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
3
Skinner
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
47.8% (960)
-1.0%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
47.0% (219)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Skinner is 25.7% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Skinner shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Skinner
Scheifele
Home
53.8% (169)
50.7% (611)
Away
38.9% (131)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Skinner
Scheifele
P1
48.1%
51.4%
P2
47.1%
47.3%
P3
46.9%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |