Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 67.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 66.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Skinner
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Skinner
Scheifele
Last 10: Skinner 2-8 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
9
Skinner
Scheifele
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
46.3% (12,036)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
50.2% (2,563)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
41.6% (598)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Skinner
Scheifele
Home
48.2% (949)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
39.9% (791)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Skinner
Scheifele
P1
41.6%
48.2%
P2
46.0%
45.6%
P3
46.4%
46.8%
OT
23.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |