Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Bonino 51.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 67.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 97.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 71.0%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Skinner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Skinner
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
51.7% (777)
-14.2%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
60.0% (50)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.9% (98)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Skinner shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Skinner
Bonino
Home
41.5% (130)
48.2% (461)
Away
39.4% (94)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Skinner
Bonino
P1
32.9%
54.1%
P2
47.1%
49.7%
P3
40.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |