Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 96.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 92.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.5%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Skinner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Skinner
Bonino
Last 10: Skinner 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
5
0
Skinner
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
Skinner
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Skinner
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
50.6% (8,315)
-8.3%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
54.1% (972)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
44.6% (1,693)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Skinner
Bonino
Home
48.2% (949)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
39.9% (791)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Skinner
Bonino
P1
41.6%
50.6%
P2
46.0%
48.5%
P3
46.4%
51.1%
OT
23.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |