Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 78.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 85.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 51.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Skinner
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
57.5% (412)
-10.7%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
60.0% (65)
-11.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Skinner
Stastny
Home
53.8% (169)
58.3% (276)
Away
38.9% (131)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Skinner
Stastny
P1
48.1%
63.7%
P2
47.1%
57.3%
P3
46.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%